When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

An inverted yield curve for US Treasury bonds is among the most consistent recession indicators. An inversion of the most closely watched spread - the one between two- and 10-year Treasury bonds ...

The financial market’s top recession warning, the inverted yield curve, looks ready to end its record stretch of flashing a ...

Does an inverted yield curve indicate that there will be a recession ... It’s widely regarded as an indicator but it’s by no means a guaranteed prediction. Sometimes it merely indicates ...

Given the somewhat unpredictable time lag between when an inverted yield curve emerges and when a recession begins, the phrase "near future" may not mean much to some investors. The average time ...

Now, it doesn't mean there couldn't be problems in the future, but we're going to need a better measure of what's going on than the yield curve. Silverstein: And how does an inverted yield curve ...

"We don't have the same back history for this spread, but it inverted more than two years before the last recession." What does all this mean? I'd want confirmation from the classic yield curve ...

The inverted Treasury yield curve is hitting extreme new levels. But paradoxically, it may be suggesting that investors are both more worried about a recession and less worried. WSJ’s Dion ...

The yield curve ... A flatter curve means potential profits are slim—incentivizing banks to lend only to the most creditworthy customers—slowing loan growth. An inverted curve risks making ...

High short-term interest rates could mean that the yield curve remains inverted for some time. If that happens, then the recession debate too, may go on for many more months.

WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted yield curve can be so reliable in predicting recession and why market watchers are talking about it now. Illustration: Ryan Trefes Dion Rabouin breaks ...

The resolution of the inverted ... 3Mo/10Yr yield curve has resolved so that long money resumes its rightful position yielding a higher rate: Obviously, the resolved yield curve does not cause ...