When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

The curve’s slope historically has foretold the future. A positive tilt is associated with an economy likely to expand, as it ...

The yield curve has three shapes: normal, flat and inverted. Normal / upwards sloping A so-called normal yield curve will slope upwards, showing that yields increase with maturity. This is because ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

the reverse of what is usually the case since holding debt for a longer period of time should carry more, not less, risk. One closely watched yield spread is currently near zero, but others are not.

The inverted Treasury yield curve is hitting extreme new levels. But paradoxically, it may be suggesting that investors are both more worried about a recession and less worried. WSJ’s Dion ...

It “inverts” when short rates top long rates. That inversion typically precedes recessions. Yield curve proponents say inversion is bad because it means investors are risk-averse, making ...

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

Yield on AAA-rated corporate bonds have remained inverted since 18-months for 10-year and 3-year, and since 13 months it is ...

An inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been seen as a recession warning sign for decades, and it looks like it’s about to light up again. WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted ...

The move points to a flattening of the yield curve, which has been inverted for 507 trading days, the longest stretch in data going back to 1977. The Fed is expected to start cutting int ...

This sharp rise in long-term rates has led to a meaningful steepening of the yield curve, as the curve quickly transitioned from inversion to steepness. While yield-curve steepening is typical in ...