Current technological developments in a number of industries, such as the rise of artificial intelligence and innovations ...

This paper considers why fertility has fallen to historically low levels in virtually all high-income countries. Using cohort data, we document rising childlessness at all observed ages and falling ...

During academic year 2024-25, the NBER is providing fellowship support for graduate students studying the economics of aging and health, behavioral macroeconomics, and consumer financial management.

In addition to working papers, the NBER disseminates affiliates’ latest findings through a range of free periodicals — the ...

While prior studies of language acquisition have focused on schools, we show the overwhelming influence of out-of-school learning. We identify the causal effect of subtitling in a ...

In the United States, unemployment insurance (UI) is funded through employer-side payroll taxes that are experience-rated based on previous UI claims. States differ significantly with respect to the ...

Lab-in-the-field experiments, in which lab experiments are conducted in more naturalistic settings, are increasingly being implemented in developing country contexts. In this chapter, we outline the ...

We estimate transitory and permanent import tariff shocks in the United States over the postwar period. We find that transitory tariff increases are neither inflationary nor contractionary, and are ...

We investigate the economic impacts of one of the world's largest anti-corruption crackdowns, Brazil's Operação Lava Jato (Car Wash). Using a difference-in-differences analysis of unique, matched firm ...

US regulators proposed the “Basel Endgame,” a long-awaited overhaul of bank capital requirements. The proposal aimed to bring the United States into compliance with international standards established ...

Many countries seek to promote exports by subsidizing market access, but evidence on such efforts has been mixed. We present the first randomized evaluation of a government financial-support program ...

In this paper we provide new evidence on the health spillover effects of health shocks within couples. Using administrative data from the Netherlands and a matching event-study framework, we estimate ...